FOMC
17 articles
FOMC statement: Warsh says US economy isn't running too hot
Fed Chair Warsh said after the October FOMC statement that the US economy is not running too hot. Here is what that framing signals and what to watch next.
Hawkish Fed Bets Build as Stocks Rally Into FOMC Decision
Wall Street closed higher on renewed AI enthusiasm as oil held near April highs and a CNBC survey pointed to Fed rate hikes ahead, just not at this week's meeting.
FOMC Minutes Point to a Year-End Hike as October Meeting Nears
Before the October 27-28 meeting, the September FOMC minutes, dot plot, Beige Book and Treasury yields frame whether the Fed's next hike comes now or in December.
Fed Blackout Begins Ahead of the October FOMC Statement
The Fed's blackout for the October 27-28 meeting began Saturday. Here is what the rule bars, what keeps flowing, and why the FOMC statement is the next signal.
Beige Book October 2026: Price Pressure Before the FOMC Statement
The Fed's October Beige Book finds flat-to-slight growth, little net hiring and oil-driven price gains, setting the backdrop for the October 28 FOMC statement.
Dot plot as signal: Waller on what the SEP says about hikes
Governor Waller said the dot plot signals more rate hikes: 16 of 18 participants expect at least one more this year, and futures show an 85% chance by December.
FOMC minutes vs. the statement: what each tells you
How FOMC minutes differ from the FOMC statement: timing, content, authorship, what participants' views reveal, and how to read the two documents together.
Hawkish Fed: Barr says more rate increases likely after hike
Governor Barr told the Detroit Economic Club that inflation is too high, risks have shifted from jobs to prices, and further policy adjustments are likely.
How to read an FOMC statement, paragraph by paragraph
A reader's guide to the FOMC statement: what each paragraph does, which wording changes matter, how to read the vote line, and how it ties to the dot plot.
Dot plot after the September hike: median sees 4.1% in 2026
The September 2026 dot plot puts the median federal funds rate at 4.1% for 2026 and 2027, above June's path, as the FOMC raised rates by a quarter point.
Hawkish Fed Raises Rates to 3.75%-4% in Unanimous September Vote
A hawkish Fed raised the federal funds range a quarter point on Sept. 16, 2026, and new projections put the 2026 median rate at 4.1% and PCE inflation at 3.7%.
How an FOMC meeting works, from the agenda to the FOMC statement
A plain-English guide to how an FOMC meeting works: who votes, how often the committee meets, what is released afterward, and how decisions reach the public.
Waller on a hawkish Fed: what would trigger a September hike
Governor Waller said disinflation in recent data supports a hold, but a hot August inflation reading could justify raising rates at the September 15-16 FOMC.
FOMC Minutes for July 2026 Detail the Case for a Rate Hike
July 2026 FOMC minutes, released August 19, show many participants saw inflation risks skewed to the upside as three voters dissented in favor of a rate hike.
June 2026 Dot Plot: Fed Projects Higher Inflation, Steady Rates
The June 2026 dot plot put the 2026 median fed funds rate at 3.8% as the Fed raised its PCE inflation forecast to 3.6% and held rates at 3.50% to 3.75% again.
FOMC Minutes Show Doubts Over the Easing Bias in April 2026
April 2026 FOMC minutes, released May 20, show almost all participants saw high Middle East uncertainty and many feared inflation could last longer than hoped.
FOMC Statement, April 2026: A Hold With Four Dissents
The April 29, 2026 FOMC statement kept rates at 3.50% to 3.75%, but four dissents split both ways: one for a cut and three against the statement's easing bias.